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IEA says oil price hurting economy, maintains demand outlook******

Wednesday, 13 April 2011


LONDON, Apr 12 (Bloomberg): The International Energy Agency (IRA) maintained its outlook for global oil demand in 2011, while warning that prices above $100 a barrel are starting to hurt the global economy. Worldwide oil consumption will increase by 1.4 million barrels a day, or 1.6 per cent, this year to average 89.4 million a day, the Paris-based adviser said today in its monthly oil market report. Still, preliminary data "already show signs of oil demand slowdown" and global supplies are starting to look "thin" as the Libyan conflict strains spare production capacity held by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, the IEA said. "There are real risks that a sustained $100-plus price environment will prove incompatible with the currently expected pace of economic recovery," the agency said. "The surest remedy for high prices may ultimately prove to be high prices themselves." Crude futures climbed above $110 a barrel in New York for the first time in 30 months on April 7 as forces loyal to Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi launched strikes on the country's oilfields. Oil traded around $109 Tuesday. Monday the International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered its 2011 forecast for US growth, citing the strain from fuel costs, and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) said there are "nascent signs of oil demand destruction." The US, the world's largest economy and biggest consumer of crude, will expand 2.8 per cent this year, down from the 3 per cent projected in January, the IMF said. The IEA reported that "preliminary January and February data suggest that persistently high oil prices may have already started to dent demand growth."