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India tightens Vietnam defence, oil ties ahead of Xi\\\'s visit

Frank Jack Daniel of Reuters in New Delhi | Wednesday, 17 September 2014


India extended a $100 million export credit to Vietnam for defence deals and tightened energy ties on Monday, signaling a more confident foreign policy ahead of a visit this week by China's President Xi Jinping.
India's new accords with one of China's rivals for influence in the South China Sea came as Xi visited the nearby islands of Sri Lanka and the Maldives, a reminder of the geostrategic jostling that is becoming an increasing feature in Asia.
During a visit to Vietnam by President Pranab Mukherjee, the two countries said in a joint statement that the credit line would open new opportunities for defence cooperation and that details of what Vietnam would buy were being finalised.
"The leaders agreed that defence and security cooperation was an important pillar of the strategic partnership between the two countries," the statement said.
They also agreed to "consolidate" energy cooperation following a 2013 agreement under which PetroVietnam offered India's ONGC oil and gas blocks for exploration and production.
India and Vietnam have deepened military cooperation over the past decade and under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India is pushing ahead with a new strategy to establish itself as an arms exporter using export credits to leverage foreign sales.
The money may help slow-moving talks to sell Brahmos cruise missiles to Hanoi.
Vietnam is building a naval deterrent to China with Kilo class submarines from Russia and it would like to add India's missile technology to its defences.
India and Vietnam have both traditionally depended heavily on their mutual Cold War partner Russia for military knowhow. The Brahmos itself was developed with Russian help.
Carl Thayer, an expert on Vietnam's military at the Australian Defence Force Academy in Canberra, said he believed Vietnam was seeking India's ship attack variants of the missile.   
Indian tests showed the supersonic cruise missile could be successfully fired from ships, which matched Hanoi's goal of creating a meaningful deterrent against China.
"This is leading-edge technology that would further complicate the ability of the Chinese navy to operate off the Vietnamese coast with impunity, particularly in the south of the South China Sea," Thayer said.
"The Vietnamese do not want to be in a situation where they wake up one morning and discover the Chinese navy has surrounded one of its bases in the Spratlys," he said, referring to a disputed island chain.
Business is growing fast between India and China, but the rising powers' ties are also defined by competition for energy and regional clout, as well as a border dispute that led to war 50 years ago.
Long insecure about China's strength, India elected Modi in May partly because of his promises to build an economically strong nation that could hold its own on the world stage.
The timing of Mukherjee's visit to Vietnam may not have been planned to coincide with Xi's South Asia tour, but it underlined India's new twin track diplomacy, foreign policy analyst C Raja Mohan wrote in the Indian Express newspaper on Monday.
"Much like China, which does not limit its strategic relationship with Pakistan because of Indian concerns, the Modi government apparently believes it can build a partnership with Vietnam on its own merits without worrying too much about what Beijing might think," Mohan said in his column.
Also on Mukherjee's trip, India's Jet Airways and Vietnam Airlines agreed to start flying between Delhi and Ho Chi Minh City from November 5, via Bangkok.
Xi will be in India from Sept. 17-19.
Meanwhile, James Crabtree of FT Syndication Service writes from Mumbai: Suzlon Energy, India's largest wind power company by sales, plans to push ahead with a $600m London flotation of its German subsidiary in the next six months, in spite of concerns about the record of London-listed companies based in emerging markets.
The initial public offering forms part of a new capital-raising push by the once high-flying renewables group, which also plans to raise $600m in fresh US dollar-denominated debt, founder Tulsi Tanti said.
 "Our plan is to raise about $1.2bn of debt and equity, and to reduce our existing rupee debt," he said. "We are working with my Indian bankers, and my German company's bankers … I don't think it will be an issue."
Mr Tanti said Suzlon, which is also the world's fifth-largest wind turbine maker, would float at least 25 per cent of Hamburg-based Senvion, which it bought under its former name Repower for $1.7bn in 2007.
The acquisition came amid a spate of bold global dealmaking by fast-growing Indian companies. It briefly won Suzlon a reputation as a star performer in the global renewables industry, and catapulted Mr Tanti into India's growing band of billionaire industrialists.
However, Suzlon's fortunes since have waned, hit by a global collapse in demand for wind energy alongside Suzlon's inability to service debts taken on during its expansion. Group net debt stood at $2.4bn last year.
Suzlon's IPO plans come at a time of rising investor worries over the management and financial performance of listed emerging markets-based businesses.
Mr Tanti said Suzlon should not be compared with the likes of India's Essar Energy or Kazakhstan-linked miner Eurasian Natural Resources, both of which were criticised for opaque governance and eventually delisted following a collapse in their respective share prices.
"You have to understand, it is a German company with German assets," he said. "It is not an emerging markets company that is going into the capital market. It is a major difference."
The former billionaire also denied he would use the equity injection simply to service debts at Suzlon, which is based in the western Indian city of Pune, although he refused to specify the proportion that would remain with the German subsidiary.
"Some of the money will be utilised for the growth of the company [Senvion]. It isn't just that all the money will go for debt," he said.
Senvion is profitable, but Suzlon has recorded post-tax annual losses since 2010. Last year it lost $557m on revenues of $3.3bn, largely because of the weak performance of its Indian business.
Mr Tanti said he expected the global wind turbine market would expand by 40 per cent this year, boosting Suzlon's global revenues, while India's upturn under recently elected Prime Minister Narendra Modi would improve domestic operations.
He added that Suzlon's future expansion would avoid the turbulence of recent years, which saw it default on a bond in 2012 and sent shares as low as Rs5.4 last August, having traded around Rs450 in 2008. They are now trading around Rs25.
"Naturally, our growth will now be more stable and cautious," Mr Tanti said.