Probable golden boot winners

The 23rd FIFA World Cup will feature 40 more matches than any previous edition. One thing that's far from a given is which player will score more times than any other. FIFA looks at the 10 men with the shortest odds to seize the adidas Golden Boot.
Kylian Mbappe (France)
If Thierry Henry and Olivier Giroud were 30 and 36 respectively when they became France's all-time leading marksman, Mbappe is set to do it at 27. As well as netting 39 times in his last 49 outings for Les Bleus, the electric attacker averaged almost a goal per game at Paris Saint-Germain and is doing the same at Real Madrid. Back-to-back World Cup Golden Boots, with elite creators such as Rayan Cherki, Ousmane Dembele, Desire Doue and Michael Olise to feed him, is within Mbappe's reach.
Harry Kane (England)
Could Kane become the first man in history to win the Golden Boot twice? His argument is compelling. The 32-year-old has averaged more than a goal per Bundesliga game since joining Bayern Munich in 2023, and is fresh from his fifth calendar year from the last nine in which he's scored at least as many times as he's played England matches.
Michael Oyarzabal (France)
The Eibar native wasn't among the 25 favourites two years ago. Now only two men top the 29-year-old on the forerunners' chart. Aided by the invention of Pedri, Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams, Oyarzabal has struck 13 times in his last 13 outings for Spain.
Erling Haaland (Norway)
Haaland's figures are otherworldly. Last October, he became only the sixth footballer in history - and first in 53 years - to reach 50 international goals in fewer than 50 caps. The hulking striker also scores with military regularity for Manchester City. Norway were drawn into an examining section but Haaland, with Oscar Bobb, Antonio Nusa and Martin Odegaard serving him, can score against anyone.
Lionel Messi (Argentina)
One of the most magnificent marksmen in football history will turn 39 during the global finals, but he's still scoring for fun. Messi has struck 35 times in his last 37 matches for Argentina, and continues to rewrite goalscoring records with Inter Miami. Christiano Ronaldo
International football's all-time leading marksman is still firing on all cylinders. The 40-year-old continues to rewrite scoring mileposts at Al Nassr and has registered 25 goals in his last 30 Portugal appearances.
— FIFA