Wall Street climbs wall of worry, eyes Fed decision
Sunday, 28 October 2007
NEW YORK, Oct 27 (AFP): Wall Street has regained some of its upward momentum as investors look past the latest economic and corporate woes and pin their hopes on an easier money policy from the Federal Reserve.
Analysts say the snapback in the past week, coming on the heels of a big drop in the prior week, has been based on hopes of a rate cut October 31 from the US central bank and that the market remains fragile.
In the week to Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 2.10 per cent to 13,806.70, rebounding from a 4.0 per cent slide the prior week.
The broad market Standard & Poor's 500 index advanced 2.31 per cent to 1,535.28 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq rallied 2.90 per cent to 2,804.19.
The past week was marked by signs of more turmoil in housing, with data showing a flood of unsold properties growing and existing home sales falling to fresh lows. Further troubles emerged in the financial sector with Merrill Lynch writing off some eight billion dollars in soured investments.
The market also shook off record high oil prices and fresh lows for the dollar against the euro.
But analysts say the market is looking ahead to a more friendly policy stance from the central bank, whose Federal Open Market Committee meets Tuesday and Wednesday.
The Fed last month cut its base rate by half a percentage point to 4.75 per cent to ease housing and credit market stress and many expect a further reduction.
"Clearly the market will focus Wednesday's FOMC rate and credit policy decision," said Gregory Drahuschak at Janney Montgomery Scott.
"Increasingly it has become obvious that the market wants another rate cut. The ideal that should satisfy the market is a 25 basis-point cut. More than this could generate worries that the economy is getting too weak."
Lehman Brothers economist Ethan Harris argues that the Fed needs to keep cutting rates in the face of a deepening housing crisis that threatens to drag the entire economy down.
Harris predicts a cut of 25 basis points and three more cuts in the coming months to bring the federal funds rate down from the current 4.75 per cent to 3.75 per cent.
Analysts say the snapback in the past week, coming on the heels of a big drop in the prior week, has been based on hopes of a rate cut October 31 from the US central bank and that the market remains fragile.
In the week to Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 2.10 per cent to 13,806.70, rebounding from a 4.0 per cent slide the prior week.
The broad market Standard & Poor's 500 index advanced 2.31 per cent to 1,535.28 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq rallied 2.90 per cent to 2,804.19.
The past week was marked by signs of more turmoil in housing, with data showing a flood of unsold properties growing and existing home sales falling to fresh lows. Further troubles emerged in the financial sector with Merrill Lynch writing off some eight billion dollars in soured investments.
The market also shook off record high oil prices and fresh lows for the dollar against the euro.
But analysts say the market is looking ahead to a more friendly policy stance from the central bank, whose Federal Open Market Committee meets Tuesday and Wednesday.
The Fed last month cut its base rate by half a percentage point to 4.75 per cent to ease housing and credit market stress and many expect a further reduction.
"Clearly the market will focus Wednesday's FOMC rate and credit policy decision," said Gregory Drahuschak at Janney Montgomery Scott.
"Increasingly it has become obvious that the market wants another rate cut. The ideal that should satisfy the market is a 25 basis-point cut. More than this could generate worries that the economy is getting too weak."
Lehman Brothers economist Ethan Harris argues that the Fed needs to keep cutting rates in the face of a deepening housing crisis that threatens to drag the entire economy down.
Harris predicts a cut of 25 basis points and three more cuts in the coming months to bring the federal funds rate down from the current 4.75 per cent to 3.75 per cent.