Aluminium hits three-month low
March 16, 2018 00:00:00
LONDON, Mar 15 (Reuters): Aluminium slid to a three-month low on Thursday, hurt by a rise in stocks, the prospect of looming U.S. import tariffs, and expectations that supply from China will rise as its winter pollution controls expire.
As well as their direct effect on aluminium, which may see a supply surplus if exporters to the United States are obliged to sell their metal elsewhere, the threats of tariffs hurt metals more broadly by sparking fears of a trade war.
"If you look at the impact, the trade tariffs will be in the end deflationary globally," Julius Baer's head of macro and commodities research Norbert Ruecker said.
"We see the end of the capacity cuts to China, with the end of the winter heating season .... (and) you also see increasing inventories across this segment," he added. "Production has been holding up better than expected, supply, looking at inventories, has been increasing, and these earlier fears that we could have some tightness have just not materialised."
ALUMINIUM: London Metal Exchange aluminium fell to its weakest since Dec. 19 in early European trade at $2,086 a tonne, and by 1030 GMT was at $2,088.50 a tonne, little changed from Wednesday.
China's winter heating season ended on Thursday. Aluminium smelters in 28 northern Chinese cities had been told to reduce output by at least 30 per cent from Nov.