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IMF chief warns of high Arab public debt

Oil prices rise despite rising US rig count


February 10, 2019 00:00:00


DUBAI, Feb 09 (AFP): Public debt has rapidly increased in many Arab countries since the 2008 global financial crisis, due to persistently high budget deficits, the International Monetary Fund warned on Saturday.

"Unfortunately, the region has yet to fully recover from the global financial crisis and other big economic dislocations over the past decade," IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde said.

"Among oil importers, (economic) growth has picked up, but it is still below pre-crisis levels," she told the Arab Fiscal Forum in Dubai.

Lagarde said public debt among Arab oil importing nations had increased from 64 per cent to 85 per cent of Gross Domestic Product in the decade since 2008.

Nearly half of these countries now have public debt of over 90 per cent of GDP, she said.

Public debt among oil exporters - including the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council - rose from 13 per cent of GDP to 33 per cent of GDP, accelerated by the crash in oil prices around five years ago, Lagarde said. "The oil exporters have not fully recovered from the dramatic oil price shock of 2014," she said.

"Modest growth continues, but the outlook is highly uncertain."

Lagarde said oil producing countries should look to renewable energy in the coming decades, in line with the Paris Agreement on climate change, which stipulates a reduction in greenhouse emissions.

The IMF last month lowered its economic growth forecasts for Saudi Arabia - the world's top crude exporter - and the wider Middle East and North Africa region due to a renewed fall in oil prices, low output and geopolitical tensions.

Lagarde welcomed both spending and revenue reforms, including the introduction of a value added-tax (VAT) and excise duty by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

A Xinhua report adds: Oil prices rose slightly on Friday despite rising US rig count.

The US oil rig count rose by seven this week, bringing the total count to 854, according to data released by oilfield services company Baker Hughes on Friday.

The West Texas Intermediate for March delivery added 8 US cents to settle at 52.72 dollars a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, while Brent crude for April increased 47 cents to close at 62.10 dollars a barrel on the London ICE Futures Exchange.


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