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Oil falls on demand concerns, new European lockdowns

Kremlin signals new OPEC+ oil talks amid weak demand outlook


October 20, 2020 00:00:00


LONDON, Oct 19 (Reuters): Oil prices fell on Monday as concerns over surging coronavirus cases globally dampened prospects for a demand recovery, while Libya planned to boost output further as the OPEC member tries to revive its energy industry after months of blockade.

Brent crude for December LCOc1 was down 30 cents, or 0.7 per cent, to $42.63 a barrel at 1017 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude for November CLc1 was down 28 cents, or 0.7 per cent, at $40.60. The contract will expire on Tuesday.

Worldwide coronavirus cases crossed 40 million on Monday, according to a Reuters tally. Many European governments are tightening lockdowns to curb the spread of virus.

"This latest swathe of stringent restrictions will inevitably impede economic growth and undermine the fuel demand recovery," said Stephen Brennock of oil broker PVM.

Investors are also focusing on the OPEC+ oil producer group's Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting later on Monday.

The committee is expected to discuss the weakening demand outlook as well as increased output from Libya, but is unlikely to recommend immediate action, sources told Reuters.

Libya has significantly boosted its production after the easing of a blockade by eastern forces in September. The 70,000-barrels-per-day Abu Attifel oilfield is expected to begin its restart on Oct. 24 after being shut down for months, two engineers said.

Energy companies in the United States, the world's biggest oil producer, last week added the most oil and natural gas rigs since January, with crude prices having held around $40 a barrel in recent months.

Bank of America projected Brent and WTI would average $44 and $40 per barrel in 2020, respectively, and $50 and $47 per barrel in 2021.

Meanwhile, China's oil-buying frenzy earlier this year is expected to slow in the fourth quarter. Chinese refiners slowed their processing rates in September.

China's economy expanded by 4.9 per cent in the third quarter from a year earlier, missing analyst expectations of 5.2 per cent, government data showed.

Meanwhile, the Kremlin signaled on Monday a new round of oil talks with Saudi Arabia as producer group OPEC+ meets on Monday to discuss the weakening demand outlook in the face of rising coronavirus infections. "Those markets are volatile and we are at an active stage of cooperation, exchange of opinions. That is why it requires regular contacts," the Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Saudi Arabia Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman held two phone calls last week to discuss oil markets.

OPEC+ sources said the group was unlikely to recommend immediate action on Monday. An OPEC+ joint ministerial monitoring committee, comprising top producers Saudi Arabia and Russia, is scheduled to meet from 1330 GMT. The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia, collectively known as OPEC+, have been reducing output since January 2017 in an effort to balance the market, support prices and reduce inventories.


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