Sri Lanka's 20-run win over England must count as the most unexpected result of the World Cup so far. More than that, it has brought some changes in calculations.
ESPNcricinfo tries and figures out the changes.
Bangladesh, Pakistan and West Indies get benefit
The best hope for Bangladesh, Pakistan and West Indies is that England lose all their remaining games and that Sri Lanka win no more than one game. That would leave those two on eight points.
Bangladesh then have to win two of their remaining games, which are against Afghanistan, India and Pakistan. Pakistan and West Indies will have to win three games each. England losing could lead to some fun scraps as West Indies and Sri Lanka still have to play each other, as do Bangladesh and Pakistan.
South Africa bring them back into the mix
This result may bring them back into the mix, but they are going to need other results to go their way, while also winning all of their games. They have to hope England lose all their games and Sri Lanka win no more than one. But it still doesn't guarantee them anything. They have also got to hope no one else reaches nine points with a better net run-rate.
So who outside the top four has the best chance?
Apart from Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Pakistan have benefitted most. Both have good shots of making it to nine points, if not 11. Tigers would have to beat Afghanistan and Pakistan or India. Pakistan would have to beat either South Africa or New Zealand and then win their last two games, against Afghanistan and Bangladesh. But nine points is only enough if England lose all games from here.
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