The performances of the key economic indicators are expected to grow during the April-June period, although inflationary pressures are expected to persist.
The Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce and Industry (MCCI), Dhaka, made the observations in its quarterly economic report unveiled on Tuesday.
Export earnings are projected to reach $4.0 billion in April, $4.09 billion in May, and further rise to $4.15 billion in June.
Imports are also expected to increase, reaching $6.76 billion in both April and May and $6.80 billion in June, reflecting higher demand for industrial raw materials and essential commodities.
Remittance inflows, which remained robust in recent months, may stand at $3.1 billion in April, $3.2 billion in May, and $3.3 billion in June.
Foreign exchange reserves are projected to improve gradually, standing at $30.5 billion in April, $31 billion in May, and $31.3 billion in June.
The MCCI hinted that inflation could accelerate further in the coming months due to the seasonal demand linked to Eid-ul-Azha and the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The business chamber projected inflation at 9.04 per cent in April and 9.4 per cent in May, which may rise further to 9.45 per cent in June.
Despite persistent challenges, the report said the Bangladesh economy was attempting to recover from the impact of political uncertainty and a difficult global environment.
By the end of March 2026, the economy remained in a fragile and uneven recovery phase, characterised by subdued growth, stubborn inflation, and continued pressure on the external sector.
Although political instability following the transition in late 2024 eased somewhat, high living costs, weak industrial activity, and cautious private sector sentiment continued to weigh on economic momentum, the report said.
The MCCI also said external pressures intensified because of geopolitical tensions and conflicts in the Middle East, contributing to volatility in global fuel prices, higher import costs, and increased uncertainty in international trade and shipping. It said these developments put further strain on balance of payments and inflation outlook.
jasimharoon@yahoo.com
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