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Major Gulf markets gain on dovish Fed outlook

August 27, 2024 00:00:00


Major stock markets in the Gulf rose in early trade on Monday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signalled that the US central bank will most likely cut interest rate in September, reports Reuters.

Powell on Friday endorsed an imminent start to interest rate cuts, saying further cooling in the job market would be unwelcome and expressing confidence that inflation is within reach of the Fed's 2 per cent target.

US personal consumption and core inflation data are due on Friday. Analysts are expecting the data to be benign enough to allow for rate cuts next month.

Fed fund futures are fully priced for a quarter-point cut at the Sept. 18 meeting, and imply a 38 per cent chance of an outsized move of 50 basis points. The market also has 103 basis points of easing priced in for this year and another 122 basis points in 2025.

Monetary policy in the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), including the UAE, is usually guided by the Fed's decisions, as most regional currencies are pegged to the US dollar.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index rose 0.1 per cent, with Saudi Telecom Company advancing 2.4 per cent.

Dubai's main share index gained 0.3 per cent, with blue-chip developer Emaar Properties rising 0.4 per cent.

In Abu Dhabi, the index added 0.2 per cent.

The Qatari benchmark advanced 0.5 per cent, led by a 1.1 per cent rise in the Gulf's biggest lender Qatar National Bank.

Oil prices - a catalyst for the Gulf's financial markets - extended gains on fears a major spillover in fighting from the Gaza conflict into the Middle East could disrupt regional oil supplies, while approaching US interest rate cuts lifted the global economic and fuel demand outlook.


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