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Oil up as OPEC+ cuts override China, US demand concerns

March 07, 2024 00:00:00


LONDON, Mar 6 (Reuters): Oil prices rebounded slightly on Wednesday after a series of declines as signs of supply tightness amid output cuts by major producers overrode demand concerns in China and the US, the world's two biggest crude consumers.

Brent crude futures were up 77 cents or 0.94 per cent to $82.81 a barrel at 1351 GMT, after four days of declines. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose $1.09 or 1.39 per centto $79.24 a barrel, after declining the past two days.

Oil prices were lifted by the announcement on Sunday that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) extended output cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day until the end of the second quarter.

The extension has created some supply tightness, particularly in Asian markets, along with the disruption in oil tanker movements as a result of the Red Sea attacks by the Houthi militia in Yemen that is tying up barrels in transit. That physical tightness was apparent as Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter, announced on Wednesday slightly higher prices for April crude sales to Asia, its biggest market

On Tuesday, China announced a 2024 economic growth target of around 5 per cent, though the lack of big-ticket stimulus plans to bolster its struggling economy raised concerns of sluggish oil demand growth.

The market "specifically was hoping to see further fiscal expansion to help meet the growth target," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG in Sydney.

Eyes are now on US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's semi-annual monetary policy testimony to Congress on Wednesday and Thursday and Friday's US employment data, Sycamore said.

In remarks prepared for Congress on Wednesday, Powell said the Fed still expects to reduce its benchmark interest rate later this year, though policymakers still needed "greater confidence" in inflation's continued decline before cutting. Investors see signs of a Fed cut as positive for the economy and oil demand.

Friday's US non-farm payrolls data is expected to show an increase of 200,000 jobs in February after surging 353,000 in January, according to a Reuters survey of economists.

Meanwhile, Gaza ceasefire talks were at an impasse on Wednesday, fuelling uncertainty and worry that the conflict may spill over into the broader Middle East, one of the world's main oil-producing regions.

The first of this week's two US inventory reports, from the American Petroleum Institute industry group, showed U.S. crude stocks rose by 423,00 barrels in the week ended March 1, market sources said, much smaller than the increase of 2.1 million barrels, expected by analysts in a Reuters poll.


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