Robusta coffee hits fresh 4-month low


FE Team | Published: December 17, 2025 00:04:27


Robusta coffee hits fresh 4-month low

LONDON, Dec 16 (Reuters): Robusta coffee futures on the ICE exchange fell to a fresh four-month low on Tuesday with the harvest in top producer Vietnam progressing apace and exports from Brazil picking up following the Trump tariff reversal.
Meanwhile, cocoa prices recovered from Monday's slide.
Robusta coffee fell 1.9% to $3,850 a metric ton at 1311 GMT, having hit its lowest since mid-August at $3,832.
Arabica coffee fell 1.4% to $3.5535 per lb, having hit its lowest since Nov 21 at $3.5445.
Sales of Brazil's 2025/26 coffee crop had reached 69% of the expected output by December 10, consultancy Safras & Mercado said, up 7 percentage points from the previous month as US buying picks up slowly.
Brazil's coffee exports in early December fell just 5.1% from a year earlier after the US removed tariffs on coffee, a smaller decline when compared to the previous month's 25.6% fall when tariffs were still in effect, government data showed.
"We project (coffee) prices reaching $3.60/lb in 3 months. While inventories have been declining, removal of the US tariffs on coffee from Brazil and Vietnam would ease the market significantly," said Citi in a note.
The bank added that the postponement of the EU's anti-deforestation law (EUDR) for another year, a relatively good Brazil crop and a bumper Vietnamese crop should also pressure prices.
Meanwhile, New York cocoa rose 1.1% to $5,940 a metric ton, recovering after Monday's 5.6% slide.
London cocoa rose 2% to 4,319 pounds a ton, having closed down closed down 7% on Monday.
After scaling five-week highs last week, dealers said cocoa is coming under pressure thanks to improved arrivals at ports in top grower Ivory Coast and in No. 3 grower Ecuador.
Broker StoneX cited data showing Ecuador's November cocoa bean and product exports totalled a record 76,523 tons.

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