Russian wheat export prices fall again

Analysts see shipments rising in March


FE Team | Published: March 13, 2024 23:25:04


Russian wheat export prices fall again

MOSCOW, Mar 13 (Reuters): Russian wheat export prices fell last week on continuing high supply in the world market, but analysts forecast significant growth in shipments from Russia in March.
The price of 12.5 per cent protein Russian wheat scheduled for free-on-board (FOB) delivery in April was $198 a metric ton, down $5 from the previous week, the IKAR agriculture consultancy reported.
The Sovecon agriculture consultancy pegged the same class of wheat at $199 to $202 a ton FOB, compared with $208 to $212 a week earlier.
"We are forced to place our volume into this stuck, non-expanding sales market ... So far, the forecast is for very low prices until the end of the season," Arkady Zlochevsky, head of the Russian Grain Union, said at a press conference on Monday.
Russia exported 1.15 million tons of grain last week, up from 1.12 million tons the previous week. The exports included 1.03 million tons of wheat, up from 0.91 million tons a week earlier, Sovecon wrote, citing port data.
The consultancy's first estimate of wheat exports in March is 4.6-5.0 million tons, compared with 4.8 million tons a year earlier. Sovecon estimates February exports at 4.1 million tons.
Russian President Vladimir Putin last week estimated Russian grain exports in the 2023/24 season at 65 million tons.
According to Zlochevsky, Russian grain exports this season could reach 70 million tons if the government approves a 4 million-ton increase in the export quota.
To date, exports have already amounted to a record 47 million tonnes, he said.
About 4 per cent of winter cereals in Russia are in "poor and sparse" condition and the overall state of the crop is not a cause for concern, Zlochevsky noted.
Last week, weather conditions were neutral for the new crop, Sovecon analysts wrote.

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