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German business confidence falls

November 27, 2018 00:00:00


Ifo chief Clemens Fuest

FRANKFURT AM MAIN, Nov 26 (AFP): Confidence among German business leaders continued to ebb in November, a closely-watched survey showed Monday, as Europe's largest economy confronts slowing growth and rising risks from abroad.

Based on a poll of around 9,000 firms, the Munich-based Ifo institute's monthly barometer fell to 102.0 points, down 0.9 points from October.

It was the third slip in a row for the survey, which is widely tracked by economists and investors.

"Sentiment among German businesses weakened further this month," Ifo chief Clemens Fuest said in a statement, adding that "the German economy is cooling down" from a period of strong growth seen last year and in the second quarter of 2018.

Companies reported a weaker assessment of the current business climate and lower expectations for the coming months than in October.

Observers have pointed to a string of one-off factors that have slowed output in Germany in recent months, from new emissions tests proving a bottleneck for the crucial car industry to low water levels in the Rhine river slowing shipping.

External risks have also grown for the export powerhouse, with transatlantic trade still a bone of contention with US President Donald Trump and risks of a no-deal Brexit far from banished -- despite EU leaders offering their blessing to a draft agreement at the weekend.

And in the eurozone there is still no resolution to a Brussels-Rome showdown over the Italian budget.

Nevertheless, economist Joerg Zeuner of public investment bank KfW was relaxed about the Ifo result, commenting that on a longer perspective "the climate level is still good."

"Germany is continuing to grow unexcitedly and the dip in growth in the third quarter is quickly being overcome," he added.


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