Tesla unveiling its long-awaited robotaxi

FE Team | Published: October 10, 2024 23:50:56

DETROIT, Oct 10 (AP): Expectations are high for the long-awaited unveiling of Tesla's robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night. Too high for some analysts and investors.
The company, which began selling software it calls "Full Self-Driving" nine years ago that still can't drive itself, is expected to show off the so-called "Cybercab" vehicle, which may not have a steering wheel and pedals.
The unveiling comes as CEO Elon Musk tries to persuade investors that his company is more about artificial intelligence and robotics as it struggles to sell its core products, an aging lineup of electric vehicles.
Some analysts are predicting that it will be a historic day for the Austin, Texas, company as it takes a huge step toward a long-awaited robotaxi service powered by AI.
But others who track self-driving vehicles say Musk has yet to demonstrate Tesla's system can travel safely without a human driver ready to step in to prevent crashes.
"I don't know why the headlines continue to be 'What will Tesla announce?' rather than 'Why does Tesla think we're so stupid?'" said Bryant Walker Smith, a University of South Carolina law professor who studies autonomous vehicles.
He doesn't see Tesla having the ability to show off software and hardware that can work without human supervision, even in a limited area that's well-known to the driving system.
"We just haven't seen any indication that that is what Tesla is working toward," Walker Smith said. "If they were, they would be showcasing this not on a closed lot, but in an actual city or on an actual freeway."
Without a clear breakthrough in autonomous technology, Tesla will just show off a vehicle with no pedals or steering wheel, which already has been done by numerous other companies, he said.
"The challenge is developing a combination of hardware and software plus the human and digital infrastructure to actually safely drive a vehicle even without a steering wheel on public roads in any conditions," Walker Smith said. "Tesla has been giving us that demo every year, and it's not reassuring us."
Many industry analysts aren't expecting much from the event either. While TD Cowen's Jeff Osborne expects Musk to reveal the Cybercab and perhaps the Model 2, a lower-cost electric vehicle, he said he doesn't expect much of a change on self-driving technology.
"We expect the event to be light on details and appeal to the true long-term believers in Tesla," Osborne wrote in a note. Musk's claims on the readiness of Full Self Driving, though, will be crucial "given past delays and ongoing scrutiny" of the system and of Tesla's less-sophisticated Autopilot driver-assist software.
Tesla's model lineup is struggling and isn't likely to be refreshed until late next year at the earliest, Osborne wrote. Plus, he wrote that in TD Cowen's view the "politicization of Elon" is tarnishing the Tesla brand among Democrat buyers in the US.
Musk has endorsed Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump and has pushed many conservative causes. Last weekend he joined Trump at a Pennsylvania rally.
Musk has been saying for more than five years that a fleet of robotaxis is near, allowing Tesla owners to make money by having their cars carry passengers while they're not in use by the owners.