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UK inflation falls more than expected

August 20, 2014 00:00:00


LONDON, Aug 19 (Reuters) : British inflation fell more than expected in July and surging house price growth slowed in June, making it less likely the Bank of England will raise interest rates this year.

Inflation dropped to 1.6 per cent in July from June's five-month high of 1.9 per cent, according to official data that sent sterling tumbling to a four-month low against the dollar.

Last week, the BoE curbed expectations rates would rise in 2014 by slashing forecasts for wage growth. Any remaining pressure to raise record-low rates this year receded further after Tuesday's data.

"We view today's data as consistent with the mood music playing at present, which is that for now, a late-2014 increase in Bank Rate appears to be off the cards," said Victoria Clarke, economist at Investec.

Economists had expected consumer price inflation would tick down to 1.8 per cent. The first annual fall in factory-gate prices since 2009 underlined the weakness in domestic inflation pressures.

Still, the outlook for inflation depends on estimates about the amount of slack left in Britain's economy, something that divides members of the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee.


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