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Argentine recession seen bottoming out in first quarter: IMF

November 12, 2018 00:00:00


BUENOS AIRES, Nov 11 (Reuters): Argentina's shrinking economy will bottom out in the first three months of next year and start to recover in the second quarter, an International Monetary Fund official said on Saturday.

The fund last month upped the size of its standby financing deal with Argentina to $56.3 billion after negotiating tougher fiscal measures that have already dented the popularity of President Mauricio Macri ahead of his 2019 re-election bid.

"The bottom of the recession, the floor, will be hit the first quarter of 2019, and in the second quarter we are going to see a recuperation," IMF mission chief for Argentina Roberto Cardarelli told reporters at a press briefing in Buenos Aires.

The revamped IMF agreement calls on the Macri government to deepen spending cuts and raise taxes to bring the primary fiscal deficit, projected at 2.7 per cent of gross domestic product in 2018, to zero next year.

Cutting the deficit during a presidential election year is almost unheard of in Argentina, where wide swaths of the population have come to rely on welfare programmes and subsidies that helped the country recover from a 2002 economic crisis that tossed millions of middle-class Argentines into poverty.


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